How many years until the singularity? (Since December 2022)
47
1.1kṀ55242049
23
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will be resolved when a recursively self-improving AI outpowers the combined might of human civilization. At least, I'll try my best to close it.
Dec 7, 6:04pm: How many years until the singularity? → How many years until the singularity? (Since December 2022)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2027?
10% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
24% chance
Singularity by 2030?
16% chance
Will there be a software-only singularity? (ACX, AI 2027 #3)
35% chance
Will Ray Kurzweil live to see the singularity?
16% chance
Will there be less than a year between the first AGI and the first superintelligence?
38% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
71% chance
Will we get AGI before 2042?
82% chance
In what year will we achieve AGI?
Will the Singularity be marked with a new "baby boom"?
52% chance