
Which AI company first solves FrontierMath 85%?
30
1.5kṀ31022026
39%
OpenAI
9%
Anthropic
4%
Meta
4%
xAI
35%
Google
9%
This question resolves to to whichever company first reaches score on the FrontierMath benchmark above or equal to 85.0% for fully-automated computer method.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any AI model achieve > 40% on Frontier Math before 2026?
43% chance
Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
5% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
53% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
35% chance
By when will AI score >= 80% on FrontierMath
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
41% chance
Will any AI model score >80% on Epoch's Frontier Math Benchmark in 2025?
5% chance
Which company has best Math AI model end of 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Will a Chinese-made AI beat o3's December score on Frontier Math by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Benchmark Gap #8: Once a single AI gets >= 80% on FrontierMath Tier 4, how long until an AI publishes a math paper?
26