
Which AI company first solves FrontierMath 85%?
30
1.5kṀ31812026
38%
OpenAI
9%
Anthropic
4%
Meta
4%
xAI
37%
Google
9%
This question resolves to to whichever company first reaches score on the FrontierMath benchmark above or equal to 85.0% for fully-automated computer method.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any AI model achieve > 40% on Frontier Math before 2026?
27% chance
Which company has best Search AI model end of 2025? (Search Arena Leaderboard)
Which company has best Math AI model end of 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
In what year will AI achieve a score of 85% or higher on the SimpleBench leaderboard?
9/13/31
Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
8% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
51% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
34% chance
By when will AI score >= 80% on FrontierMath
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
39% chance
Will any AI model score >80% on Epoch's Frontier Math Benchmark in 2025?
5% chance