Thinking Machines releases an LLM by EOY 2025?
24
Ṁ100Ṁ1.2kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background
Thinking Machines Lab is a new AI company whose CEO is Mira Murati (former CTO of OpenAI).
Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if Thinking Machines releases to the public an LLM (through an API, through a web interface, or by releasing the model weights) by EOY.
Resolves NO if Thinking Machines does not release an LLM this year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ105 | |
| 2 | Ṁ38 | |
| 3 | Ṁ34 | |
| 4 | Ṁ20 | |
| 5 | Ṁ19 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will LLMs Daydream by EOY 2026?
15% chance
❓ Which AI model will lead the LLM race by the end of 2025?
Will OpenAI release another open source LLM before end of 2026?
80% chance
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
70% chance
There will be one LLM/AI that is at least 10x better than all others in 2027
17% chance
What valuations will Thinking Machines reach by EOY 2027?