How low can @jim push the S&P 500? (2025) | Manifold

How low can @jim push the S&P 500? (2025)

13

1kṀ12k

Dec 30

86%

5500

63%

5400

33%

5300

31%

5200

28%

5100

24%

5000

Resolved

YES

5900

Resolved

YES

5800

Resolved

YES

5700

Resolved

YES

5600

If S&P trades below a number at any point in 2025 that number resolves YES

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bought Ṁ500 YES

You people have a lot of rational faith in me.

@Bayesian can you put some limits up here?

@jim uh idk what the option implied price is

@SemioticRivalry want to fill my 5800 order?

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Related questions

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?

What prices will the S&P reach before 2050?

Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

When will S&P 500 drop below $5000? (which day?)

Will the S&P record a historic low, a 20% drop, before April 2025?

Will the S&P 500 fall below 4000 points at any time before the end of 2024?

Will the S&P 500 index drop 40% from peak to trough by March, 2029?

Will the S&P 500 finish 2024 at 5,000 or higher?

Will a stock in the S&P 500 be down 90% by 2024 year end?

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