Will the forecasting bot FutureSearch have a profit / net worth ratio of over 25% at the end of 2024?
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Ṁ746Jan 1
15%
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That's an intuitive threshold I'd have for actually forecasting decently. It's really easy to pick up free money on manifold at small portfolio values, it's less easy to grow a portfolio of significant size.
I reserve the right to use corrected values in my judgement if FutureSearch does something like managram away 90% of it's net worth.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@RobertCousineau betting yes on the basis of the team being well credentialed and respectable seeming.
Agreed that that is a hilarious/shameful graph to showcase on their website as is.
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