Will the odds of this market be below 50% at the end of 2024?
9
89
Ṁ74Ṁ110
2025
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will be based on the "chance" of the market at 12:00am, Jan 1, 2025. Resolves "yes" if the chance is strictly below 50%.
Get Ṁ200 play money
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Note @MaxJiangfbf8 that "by" means "at or before". But since this market only depends on the state of things at the end of 2024, and not before, the use of "by" in the title is confusing. Would suggest changing it to "at the end of 2024"