Will the forecasting bot FutureSearch have a profit / net worth ratio of over 25% at the end of 2024?
10
111
Ṁ246Ṁ190
2025
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
That's an intuitive threshold I'd have for actually forecasting decently. It's really easy to pick up free money on manifold at small portfolio values, it's less easy to grow a portfolio of significant size.
I reserve the right to use corrected values in my judgement if FutureSearch does something like managram away 90% of it's net worth.
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@RobertCousineau betting yes on the basis of the team being well credentialed and respectable seeming.
Agreed that that is a hilarious/shameful graph to showcase on their website as is.
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