Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2024?
Basic
8
Ṁ391resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
When integrated with tools such as formal proof verifiers, internet search, and symbolic math packages, I expect, say, 2026-level AI, when used properly, will be a trustworthy co-author in mathematical research, and in many other fields as well.
except for 2024
Resolves YES if a real professional mathematician claims this happened for them, unless consensus of other experts is that it didn't happen
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2026?
80% chance
Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028?
73% chance
Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2025?
87% chance
Will an AI model write the proof to the Riemann Hypothesis by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
38% chance
Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
30% chance
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
76% chance
Will I (co)write an AI safety research paper by the end of 2024?
45% chance
Will Manifold be cited in a paper from a top-tier AI lab or AI journal before 2025?
20% chance
Will a published research paper be revealed to have been written by an AI before 2025?
83% chance