In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2024 US presidential election? [$10k liquid]
8
110Ṁ658
2041
6%
chance

Definite criteria are difficult, but enough votes to flip a close swing state within that state would resolve this YES. Either party counts. Resolves to the judgement of whatever system Manifold uses to judge complicated resolutions, or my judgement if nobody who bet disagrees.

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