Will the next Speaker of the House be elected within 20 ballots?
43
16
Ṁ22KṀ850
resolved Jan 7
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the next Speaker of the House is elected on one of the first 20 ballots, otherwise NO.
Fine print: Only the ballots to elect the first Speaker of the House in the 118th United States Congress will count toward the resolution of this market.
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This is still looking pretty low, how about 30? https://manifold.markets/MichaelBlume/will-the-next-speaker-of-the-house-cebea93804f7