What will happen before July relating to the motion to vacate Mike Johnson? [ADD ANSWERS]
43
1.5kṀ5901
resolved Jul 1
Resolved
YES
At least one Democrat will vote to keep Mike Johnson as speaker or to table the motion to vacate
Resolved
YES
Trump will make a statement of any kind supporting Mike Johnson
Resolved
NO
Two or more separate votes will be held on motions to vacate the speaker
Resolved
NO
At least one Freedom Caucus member will be removed from a committee
Resolved
NO
At least twelve Republicans will vote to remove Mike Johnson
Resolved
NO
The motion to vacate (not a motion to table) will be voted on by the full House
Resolved
NO
The FiveThirtyEight generic 2024 ballot average will show Democrats winning by 2% or more as its permanent listed value for any day
Resolved
NO
Another Republican announces they will resign from the House before the end of the 118th Congress
Resolved
NO
The House rules will be changed to raise the threshold for the motion to vacate
Resolved
NO
Mike Johnson will cease to be Speaker of the House
Resolved
NO
A Democrat will become Speaker of the House
Resolved
NO
No rule votes will pass during the week of April 15 - April 21 (after this answer was created)
Resolved
NO
A vote will be held to table the motion to vacate before April 23

On April 16, Thomas Massie sponsored the motion to vacate Mike Johnson: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/04/16/congress/massie-joins-greene-00152463

This makes two Republicans calling for his ouster, which would result in his ejection if every Democrat also votes to vacate the speakership.

I will resolve any option that is not plausibly related to the motion to vacate N/A.

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