Israel-Hezbollah conflict killing >400 before 2024? And US and Iran at war before 2025?
52
2.5kṀ36kresolved Jan 1
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%97%
No Israel-Hezbollah, No US-Iran
0.2%
[now impossible] Yes Israel-Hezbollah, Yes US-Iran
0.9%
[now impossible] Yes Israel-Hezbollah, No US-Iran
1.9%
No Israel-Hezbollah, Yes US-Iran
This is a two-part question. It resolves according to the resolutions of:
Note one is 2024 and one 2025. This is intended to predict potential paths to a broader war, and is part of a series of markets about how one short term possible event (Hezbollah-Israel conflict) could affect one longer term possible event (US-Iran war)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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