If the US fails to raise the debt ceiling before June 1, will the US avoid default?
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resolved Jan 1
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Resolves N/A if before June 1 (Eastern time), the US raises or suspends the debt ceiling. Otherwise:
Resolves NO if the US defaults on its debt in 2023.
Resolves YES if the US avoids default.
Definitions:
Raising or suspending the debt ceiling is defined the same as https://manifold.markets/jack/will-the-us-debt-ceiling-be-raised
Default is defined the same as https://manifold.markets/jack/will-the-us-government-default-on-i
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@MarcusAbramovitch could still default in 2023, even if extremely unlikely, as @jack pointed out here
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