
Will the United States default on its sovereign debt obligations by December 31, 2025?
15
100Ṁ25912026
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to YES if any of the following occur before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2025:
1. The U.S. Treasury fails to make a scheduled payment of principal or interest on any U.S. Treasury securities on time and in full
2. Any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, or Fitch) declares the U.S. to be in default
3. The U.S. Treasury announces it will miss or delay any scheduled payment on Treasury securities
The market will resolve to NO if none of the above occurs before the specified deadline
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended before March 17, 2025?
11% chance
Will the US government default on its debt by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will any OECD country undergo a sovereign debt crisis by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will the US’s public debt exceed 125% of its GDP by Q4 2025?
42% chance
Will the Chinese government default on any debt payments before 2028?
20% chance
What will US Sovereign debt be in 2035?
70
Will Turkey Default on Its Debt By The End of 2024?
1% chance