Hamas still in power in Gaza through end of October?
56
489
960
resolved Nov 1
Resolved
YES

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is still recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip through Oct 31, 2023. "Primary governing authority" is defined as Hamas having predominant political and military control in the Gaza Strip. If at any time prior to the expiry date, Hamas is no longer recognized as the primary governing authority, the market will resolve to "No". In case of shared governance or significant disruptions, the group or authority with the majority of control will be considered the primary governing authority. This market will resolve according to credible reporting.

Copied from https://polymarket.com/event/hamas-still-in-power-in-gaza-by-oct-31 but improved the wording (by -> through). This resolves the same as polymarket except in the specific case that the polymarket resolution does something dumb related to the bad wording which I changed, in which case I will ignore it.

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How does this resolve if Israel controls the northern part of the Gaza Strip but Hamas remains in power in the southern part?

predicted YES

"In case of shared governance or significant disruptions, the group or authority with the majority of control will be considered the primary governing authority."

As for how it will be determined who has the "majority of control", that's up to Polymarket's resolver (UMA).

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