Will Manifold hit 10,000 active users daily (7d average) in 2023?
ManifoldManifold Business FutureManifold User RetentionNew Year's Resolutions 2024
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50
Ṁ66k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Manifold has hit record-high number of 2490 active users [as of November 15], averaging 1637 daily over the 7 days.


This market asks whether the 7d Daily average of Manifold active users - displayed at https://manifold.markets/stats will hit 10,000 in 2023.

There are also active markets with different numbers:

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

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Order at 7% for anyone who wants to play deadifold

Manifold's user count,
On the rise, no doubt,
But ten thousand a day?
Seems too high to say.

This is a dup of another market that is much more well traded:

@itsTomekK maybe you could consider closing this one (not resolving just closing) so less mana gets sucked up by the arb bots?

predicted NO

@jack Is the arbitrage causing an issue?

predicted NO

@MartinRandall Not especially, but duplicate markets are a bit annoying in general, e.g. trade feeds of both markets are mostly the arb bots trading.

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