Will AfD (Alternative für Deutschland) become the leader of polls in Germany in 2024?
22
1kṀ6328resolved Jan 25
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve to YES, if AfD becomes the most popular party in Germany in 2024.
The resolution source is the Kalman average of polls presented by Politico's Polls of Polls: https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/germany/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ54 | |
| 2 | Ṁ31 | |
| 3 | Ṁ28 | |
| 4 | Ṁ13 | |
| 5 | Ṁ12 |
People are also trading
Related questions
When will the AfD be the largest party in Germany according to polls? V2
Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the German government by 2026?
1% chance
Will AfD get 21+% in 2029 German Federal Elections?
71% chance
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
42% chance
Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections
42% chance
Will AfD win absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
29% chance
WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
31% chance
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
23% chance
Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030?
8% chance
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
59% chance