What is the next country to invoke NATO Article 4?
16
450Ṁ4268
resolved Sep 21
100%99.0%
Estonia
0.0%
Poland
0.1%
Lithuania
0.1%
Latvia
0.2%
---no Article 4 before 2030---
0.0%
Turkiye
0.0%
Bulgaria
0.0%
Czech Republic
0.0%
Romania
0.0%
Slovakia
0.1%
United States of America
0.0%
Greece
0.0%
Finland
0.0%
Sweden
0.0%
United Kingdom
0.0%
Norway
0.0%
Ukraine
0.0%Other

//this market was created AFTER Poland invoked Article 4 in September 2025.




"Article 4 of NATO Treaty:

The Parties will consult together whenever, in the opinion of any of them, the territorial integrity, political independence or security of any of the Parties is threatened."

Article 4 of the NATO treaty covers the case when a member state feels threatened by another country or a terrorist organization. The 30 member states then start formal consultations at the request of the threatened member. The talks look at whether a threat exists and how to counter it, with decisions arrived at unanimously. Article 4 does not, however, mean that there will be direct pressure to act. Since the Alliance’s creation in 1949, Article 4 has been invoked several times.


((Market works no longer than till 2030.)

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bought Ṁ100 YES

@ChadCotty @itsTomekK Will this market completely close, or will Estonia resolve yes and the market stays open?

@Chumchulum will completely close. Is this news oficial and resolving yes?

@itsTomekK It appears a formal request for consultations has been made. https://x.com/reporterjacobg/status/1969120936805741015

@ChadCotty That's an invocation. Resolves YES even if nothing happens.

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