MANIFOLD
❓ Which AI model will lead the LLM race by the end of 2025?
17
Ṁ275Ṁ1.1k
resolved Jan 23
100%86%Other
4%
OpenAI GPT-5
1.4%
Anthropic Claude 4 Opus
2%
Google Gemini 2.5 Ultra
0.8%
Meta LLaMA 3.1 (Open Source)
0.8%
Mistral Large / Mixtral
1.2%
xAI Grok-2 (Elon Musk)
0.8%
Alibaba Qwen 2 / Tongyi Qianwen
1.0%
DeepSeek V2.5
0.8%
Cohere Command R+
0.8%
Perplexity LLM

Predict which large language model (LLM) will achieve market leadership by the end of 2025 based on metrics including model architecture innovations, training data scale and quality, multimodal capabilities, inference efficiency, ecosystem integration (APIs, plugins), adoption across industries, fine-tuning/customization flexibility, safety and alignment measures, and overall impact on AI research and deployment.

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@mods time to resolve - other (gemini 3.0 ) ot chat GPT 5.2

4 month early market resolution?

@KeithManning their account was hacked. Mods will probably unresolve.

@geuber I don't particularly believe that their account was hacked. If that was in fact the case they should ask for help in the discord. But I'm thinking they're just a troll. Anyway, I've unresolved it (again), hopefully this doesn't have to escalate to a ban but it's sure looking that way.

bought Ṁ5 YES

Is it only counting these specific model names or anything by those companies?

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