Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?
9
100Ṁ431Jan 1
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
"Chris" claiming to be leaking an OpenAI secret here, that they will release a continuous learning model later this year.
https://x.com/chatgpt21/status/1897488395665911918
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?
45% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2028?
75% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2030?
85% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2029?
81% chance
Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?
14% chance
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
90% chance
Will LLMs Daydream by EOY 2026?
15% chance
Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?
72% chance
Will there be a state-of-the-art LLM that is NOT based on next raw token prediction before 2029?
55% chance
Will the most advanced LLM stop being from a US-based company any time before 2030?
34% chance