Will AI be able to write a "Harry Potter" book featuring all the 2011-2014 Thiel Fellows as characters by 2030?
Basic
7
Ṁ892031
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mar 16, 2:10am: Will AI be able to write a "Harry Potter" story featuring all the 2011-2014 Thiel Fellows as characters by 2030? → Will AI be able to write a "Harry Potter" book featuring all the 2011-2014 Thiel Fellows as characters by 2030?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
23% chance
Will a major publishing house release a collection of poetry fully written by an AI by 2025?
59% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
59% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
38% chance
In 2024, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
54% chance
Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?
39% chance
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
43% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
70% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
86% chance
In 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?
60% chance