
Will a large language model (or AI) successfully convince someone to take amphetamine (off-label, not for ADHD) by 2035?
2
90Ṁ302037
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?
53% chance
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
32% chance
Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?
90% chance
Will an OpenAI model design an improved version of an existing drug in 2025?
24% chance
Will an AI model be capable of superhuman persuasion before 2034.
82% chance
By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]
25% chance
Will any AI model be capable of involuntarily hypnotizing human beings by EoY 2025?
5% chance
Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will AIs pay people to get their fMRI/EEG scans to model their brains for superhuman persuasion? (by 2035)
36% chance
Will AIs make use of tFUS or TMS for superhuman persuasion? (by 2035)
69% chance