Will Manifold Markets be mentioned by name in a mainstream news article before EOY 2023?

50

Ṁ950Ṁ37k

resolved Oct 8

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Follow-up to https://manifold.markets/ianminds/will-manifold-markets-be-mentioned-2093146b0ce9

Only resolves YES if Manifold Markets is mentioned by name.

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predictedYES

Resolve pls

Should resolve yes: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/08/technology/prediction-markets-manifold-manifest.html

Needs clarity: podcast that's a side project of a massive mainstream newspaper?

predictedYES

@Quinn in the market to which this is a follow-up, it looks like a podcast (or transcript) was not sufficient, but a link to manifold was (despite not having the text "manifold" or anything like that).

The bar seems to have been raised in this market such that YES requires a mention by name and the link wouldn't cut it. And in the absence of clarification I think the precedent is probably that the podcast or its transcript wouldn't count.

Shouldn't be lower than this market, which shot up recently due to an admin buying YES on it (!!)

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