Resolves YES if Alex Honnold successfully ascends Taipei 101 on a continuous free solo climb that begins on 23 January 2026 PT. [image]https://x.com/AlexHonnold/status/2002807370452509170 Update 2025-12-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the climb is rescheduled due to weather or other reasons, the market resolves NO. The event must occur on January 23, 2026 specifically. Update 2025-12-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The climb must begin on January 23, 2026 PT (Pacific Time). If delayed by a few hours but still starts on the 23rd PT, the market remains valid. Update 2026-01-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A continuous climb means Alex Honnold does not come down or receive assistance between starting and completing the climb.

No — resolved on Jan 24, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.

Will Alex Honnold successfully free solo Taipei 101 today? (January 23, 2026)

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Ṁ1.2kṀ56k

resolved Jan 24

Resolved

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Resolves YES if Alex Honnold successfully ascends Taipei 101 on a continuous free solo climb that begins on 23 January 2026 PT.

https://x.com/AlexHonnold/status/2002807370452509170

Update 2025-12-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the climb is rescheduled due to weather or other reasons, the market resolves NO. The event must occur on January 23, 2026 specifically.

Update 2025-12-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The climb must begin on January 23, 2026 PT (Pacific Time). If delayed by a few hours but still starts on the 23rd PT, the market remains valid.

Update 2026-01-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A continuous climb means Alex Honnold does not come down or receive assistance between starting and completing the climb.

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@traders Updated version of the market:

So glad I only bought No shares

@hrothgar So, we trying again with a new market for tomorrow?

@EvanDaniel +1

For a minute I thought this market was how I found out Alex Honnold fucking died

@Lovix 😭 the whole time I've been betting on a weather market hoping people don't think I'm a ghoul

@JoshuaWilkes Yep, me too. Love the guy. Wish him well. He does shit I would only dream about.

@Lovix Same rofl

bought Ṁ100 NO

https://x.com/netflix/status/2014858673512997309

What happened to move it from 75 to 90?

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@Eliza This is a market about the weather in Taipei. Always has been.

@EvanDaniel I wish I would have known that. I do like Alex and weather. But climbing a building seemed monotonously boring. What was the weather update? High winds?