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MANIFOLD
Will Alex Honnold successfully free solo Taipei 101 on January 24, 2026?
127
Ṁ1kṀ54k
resolved Jan 25
Resolved
YES
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Can someone explain what this was?

That's my goat

opened a Ṁ3,000 YES at 99.0% order

What if it's a deepfake

Congrats Alex.

waving from both sides of the glass on the obs deck was so funny.

sold Ṁ10 NO

I thought this was gonna take like 4-6hours 😭

opened a Ṁ128 YES at 95% order

my man

@crowlsyong alex hannold is theeeeeee man

OMG that production is atrocious

@MachiNi Truuuly. Let me hear the wind whipping and his feet clanking for god’s sake.

@Lovix I will pay the hosts to just STFU

Looking mainly at 18Z icon and sounding for 00Z point only, radar, live webcam and a few other products, the weather looks favorable.

if not today, then won’t it will be delayed for more than a few days if they don’t have good radar coverage ?

Alex Handhold

"Safety remains our top priority" 😂

Do they realise that "not doing it" is an option?

@Fion they are lying about their top priority of course

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 64% order

Similar details to the previous market, I assume? Starts on Jan 24th, pacific time, makes it to the top before coming down?

@EvanDaniel Since I did not specify a timezone in the market description, a successful free solo in any timezone on earth on Jan 24th counts. Has to make it to the top before coming down.

If subtleties about details arise, I might consider the corresponding polymarket market as a reference: https://polymarket.com/event/will-alex-honnold-free-solo-taipei-101.

@EvanDaniel Thanks for the boost, btw.

@vdb can we up the liqidity to 1k

@JeromeHPowell will do if the market becomes more popular

@vdb makes sense, if you need a loan to fund the liquidity, I can give you an interest free loan for it

@JeromeHPowell That's my fed chair!

bought Ṁ25 YES