Alex Honnold fails to climb safely through 2035 | Manifold

Alex Honnold fails to climb safely through 2035

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16

Ṁ643

2036

29%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

And has a climbing accident, one which unfortunately is fatal

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predicts YES

Not spamming, I hope, but this is related:

Am I understanding this right? This market resolves YES if Alex Honnold dies in a climbing accident before the end of 2035, and resolves NO otherwise? So if he dies for other reasons, or if he's still alive at the end of 2035, it resolves NO?

predicts YES

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Related questions

Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents?

Will Alex Honnold live to the age of 50?

David Goggins stays safe through 2033

Will Lex Fridman interview Alex Honnold by the end of 2024?

Will The Dawn Wall (5.14d El Capitan) see another free ascent by 2026?

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