Will half of Proof School students use Manifold Markets by the end of the school year?

29

590Ṁ8181

resolved May 2

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This will be judged by the number of students who are both members of the "Manifold Markets" google chat and have Manifold Markets accounts.

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By the start of 2027, will there be >=1 students attending Proof School who first heard about it on Manifold Markets?

Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?

Will Bryan Caplan create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Manifold have real money markets with at least 1% of the active liquidity of Polymarket by end of 2025?

Will Manifold implement another way to handle conditional markets before 2026?

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Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?

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