Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What question will Nate Silver choose as his favorite during his fireside chat?
9
Ṁ450Ṁ3.1k
resolved Sep 25
100%99.7%
Who should write a book? We have some prominent online writers at Manifest (Scott Alexander, Byrne Hobart, Patrick McKenzie) who haven't published a book afaict; should they bother, in a world where attention spans are declining …
0.1%
In your new Substack, what kinds of topics are you most excited to cover?
0.0%
You've recently moved off of 538. What do you regret about your time there? What are you most proud of?
0.0%
What prediction markets or forecasting platforms have helped with your modeling & writing? How could they be more helpful?
0.0%
Does it matter that prediction markets are mostly run by Scottish Teens? How can they expand their audience, and who should their audience be? (Disclosure: I bet YES on the will Nate Silver say the words Scottish Teens at Manifest)
0.1%Other

Will resolve to the question that wins the M1000 bounty here: https://manifold.markets/Austin/what-should-i-ask-nate-silver-at-ma

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ80
2Ṁ50
3Ṁ38
4Ṁ17
5Ṁ6