Will Bangladesh hold new general elections in the next 6 months?
Plus
11
Ṁ1661Feb 5
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if general elections are held in Bangladesh between 5 Aug 2024 and 5 Feb 2025 inclusive. Resolves NO otherwise.
An announcement is not sufficient, voting must actually happen within this window for a positive resolution.
I will not participate in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
August 19:
"We will hold a free, fair participatory election as soon as we can complete our mandate to carry out vital reforms in our election commission, judiciary, civil administration, security forces and media," [Yunus] told diplomats
I think there should be >3% chance that this ends without elections OR civil war.
https://manifold.markets/programjames/will-the-ongoing-civil-unrest-in-ba?r=cHJvZ3JhbWphbWVz
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the de facto leader of Bangladesh at the end of May 2025?
Will the ongoing civil unrest in Bangladesh be considered a civil war by the end of year?
41% chance
When will the next UK General Election take place?
Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2026?
57% chance
When will the next Haitian general election occur?
Will Myanmar's junta be overthrown before 2026?
50% chance
When will the next UK general election be held?
Will a uk general election be called in the latter six months of 2024?
3% chance
Will Guinea's planned elections occur?
38% chance
Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2025?
24% chance