Will China attempt to seize the island of Kinmen by end of year?
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Ṁ180Ṁ1.4kresolved Jan 1
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This article says they will: https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4513028
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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If Nixon and JFK were debating about what to do if China takes some minor islands no one cares about and of no strategic importance, and 62 years later they haven’t been taken, (and would be a major strategic and tactical error if taken at all), what probability would you assign to them being taken?
@Gigacasting A lot of people are asking questions about the numeric value of the market that are already answered by the numeric value of the market.
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