Resolves YES as soon as Manifold reaches a 7-day average of at least 1200 Daily Active Users.
Resolves NO otherwise.
The data source will be the stats page! For reference, on May 3, i see 1032 DAU
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ968 | |
2 | Ṁ507 | |
3 | Ṁ217 | |
4 | Ṁ170 | |
5 | Ṁ130 |
People are also trading
@esusatyo Superconductor stuff going viral on twitter or something. Lots of new users. This question is a yes unless the hype dies off, like, right now.
I got this wrong in the other 1100 market... but I'll leave this here as reference:
(1200 * 7) - (1786 + 1731 + 1057 + 943 + 841 + 784) = 1258 needed for tomorrow, based on current DAU of 1786 (it may go up today further!). This seems possible if the boom continues.
Or on average for the rest of July (Thanks to @ScipioFabius for this idea):
Only need 1021 on average for the next three days: (1021*3 + 1786 + 1057 + 943 + 841) / 7 ~= 1200