Will there be 500 fatalities during Israel–Hezbollah confrontations by 13 April 2024?
Basic
33
Ṁ5951
resolved Apr 24
Resolved
NO

Will resolve according to ACLED data on the number of fatalities during confrontations between Hezbollah and the military forces of Israel and/or Israeli civilians, starting from 7 October 2023 and ending 13 April 2024 (inclusive).

From here:

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Resolves NO, there were 333 fatalities according to the ACLED data.

@finn 438 fatalities if you include incidents where Hezbollah, Israeli armed forces, or Israeli civilians were 'associated actors'

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules