Will Israeli strikes kill any Irish peacekeepers in Lebanon by the end of 2025?
➕
Plus
31
Ṁ5075
2026
8%
chance

https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/2024/10/04/irish-peacekeepers-lebanon-latest-israel-invasion/

Based on coverage by CNN, the BBC, or Haaretz. Note that the coverage just needs to indicate that such a strike by the IDF or other Israeli actors killed such a person, it doesn't need to use the active voice for attribution. This question will be upgraded if there is substantial interest.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Does this only relate to airstrikes? Would death by tank shell also count?

@biased Any attack, bullets, airstrikes, whatever. I try to be intentional with whether I use terms like airstrike or not.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules