Will the commercial pilot shortage end before the end of 2030?
Will the commercial pilot shortage end before the end of 2030?
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Covid saw massive layoffs / retirements of a lot of professional pilots. Now airlines seem to be constantly canceling flights due to pilot shortages. (End meaning airlines go a month without canceling a flight due to “Pilot Shortage”)
Link to the FAA’s official Data & Statistics Website: https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation_data_statistics
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@EvanDaniel ah good question!
I’ll throw a link to the Federal Aviation Administration’s data statistics page in the description
@faroutmat Sweet! I didn't even realize this was a thing there was good stats reporting on! (But am not all that surprised in retrospect.)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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