Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will the Tesla Bot be available by 2028?
58
Ṁ1kṀ10k
2028
24%
chance

Related Markets:

Market context
Elon musk
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Tesla's Cybercab enter public Robotaxi service in Austin by August 31, 2026?
3% chance
Will Tesla robotaxies hit the market before Jan 1 2027?
75% chance
Will Tesla have a operational Robotaxi that they are announcing on 8/8 operation in the US, by the end of 2026?
90% chance
Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?
28% chance
Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?
Will the Tesla RovoVan be available before 2027?
2% chance
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service in California by the end of 2026?
2% chance
In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?
In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot
[Metaculus] Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
42% chance
Sort by:

Available to whom? Tesla factories? B2B? Consumers?

filled a Ṁ250 NO at 17% order

@AndrewBrown I assume "US consumers", considering the Metaculus link

Impressive.

People are also trading

Will Tesla's Cybercab enter public Robotaxi service in Austin by August 31, 2026?
3% chance
Will Tesla robotaxies hit the market before Jan 1 2027?
75% chance
Will Tesla have a operational Robotaxi that they are announcing on 8/8 operation in the US, by the end of 2026?
90% chance
Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?
28% chance
Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?
Will the Tesla RovoVan be available before 2027?
2% chance
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service in California by the end of 2026?
2% chance
In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?
In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot
[Metaculus] Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
42% chance