Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾

Question

*Optimus is the current name presented by Tesla, but if the first robot model to hit the market will change name we'll keep the market valid, just consider it to be the first humanoid robot manufactured and sold by Tesla.

Crime committed in any jurisdiction.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Optimus_(robot)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 20% chance (25 traders, as of Sep 13, 2026).