MANIFOLD
Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?
9
Ṁ1kṀ3.1k
Dec 31
73%
If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico
90%
If the nominees are Cornyn and Crockett
54%
If the nominees are Paxton and Talarico
85%
If the nominees are Paxton and Crockett

If the nominees stated in an answer are not the final nominees, the answer N/As

An answer resolves YES if the listed nominees are accurate and the Republican (Cornyn or Paxton) wins the election. It resolves NO if the listed nominees are accurate and the Democrat (Talarico or Crockett) wins the election.

inb4 people end up trading on who they expect to be nominated

Market context
Trump's Second Term
U.S. Congress
US Senate
Texas
2026 Midterms
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ30 NO

trying a new market format since this senate race seems heavily dependent on who each party nominates. Three of the four answers will N/A after the primaries are done.

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy