Will Myanmar's junta still be in control of Myanmar through 2026? | Manifold

Will Myanmar's junta still be in control of Myanmar through 2026?

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Dec 31

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Resolves to yes if the current military government still controls the capital of Naypyidaw on Dec. 31, 2026.

Resolves to no if they lose control of the capital to another faction.

Resolves to no if they hold elections in 2026 that are deemed free and fair by international observers and/or the mainstream Western media AND the elected positions hold substantive power. If Myanmar has a limited democracy like before the 2021 coup, the question resolve to no.

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