Will GothamChess become a grandmaster by 2080?

Ṁ1kṀ3.4k

2080

20%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if FIDE awards Levy Rozman (GothamChess) the chess grandmaster title at any point before 2080. Resolves NO otherwise.

Market context

Chess

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will these people ever be FIDE world chess champion? (end mid 2044)

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

43% chance

When will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) become a Grandmaster?

Will there be a woman World Chess Champion before 2060?

16% chance

Who will be a world chess champion before 2050?

Will chess be solved by 2040?

9% chance

Levy Rozman (Gotham Chess) or Eric Rosen becomes a GM by 2035

24% chance

Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

56% chance

Will chess be solved by 2100?

45% chance

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

60% chance

Sort by:

lol

Why 2080, I'm not looking to win mana when I'm 78 years old, and GothamChess is not likely to reach GM after 40 years old. Just resolve it in 10 years or something.

predictedNO

@SophusCorry true, ha. People are already bought in here - maybe another market with shorter timeline would be good

@SophusCorry Don't forget about World Senior Championship! Winner automatically gets the GM title.

@themightysalmon Ahahahaha I often wonder if things like manifold will still be around when I'm so old. And whether I'll be around and whether I would care about this if I were.