Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?
28
Ṁ1kṀ1.7k2030
19%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"non-test nuclear weapon" includes any delivery mechanism or actor. Accidental detonations count. Tactical nuclear weapons count.
"detonate" means there is a nuclear explosion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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