Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
39
αΉ655αΉ7.3kNov 9
59%
Tom Steyer
12%
Xavier Becerra
9%
Steve Hilton
6%
Katie Porter
4%
Matt Mahan
3%
Chad Bianco
3%
1.3%
Alex Padilla
Gavin Newsom is term-limited. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_gubernatorial_election
Resolves when the race is projected by a major news outlet or Dave Wasserman. Re-resolves in the rare event that an initial projection does not match official election results.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Who will be elected governor of California in 2026?
Who will finish top 2 in the California gubernatorial primary election?
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
60% chance
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District
Will two Republicans win in California's June 2026 gubernatorial primary?
7% chance
Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?
96% chance
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 26th State Senate district
Sort by:
https://manifold.markets/news/2026-california-governor-election?r=TnpKYWNrMG4
I made a dashboard so you can find other California Governor markets easily
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Who will be elected governor of California in 2026?
Who will finish top 2 in the California gubernatorial primary election?
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
60% chance
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District
Will two Republicans win in California's June 2026 gubernatorial primary?
7% chance
Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?
96% chance
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 26th State Senate district