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MANIFOLD
(US x Iran Ceasefire) x (US forces enter Iran)
23
Ṁ100Ṁ2.7k
resolved Apr 15
100%99.0%
Ceasefire, forces enter Iran
0.3%
Ceasefire, No forces enter Iran
0.1%
No ceasefire, No forces enter Iran
0.6%
No ceasefire, forces enter Iran

Resolves based on these two polymarket links


https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-by

https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-enter-iran-by

For the "December 31" markets.

Market context
Iran
Middle East
Israel-Iran Conflict
Iranian Politics
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bought Ṁ324 YES

@Desert This can resolve, both polymarket links have resolved YES for Dec 31st.

@Cactus Sorry if this is double pinging, IDK if I’m supposed to tag your main account or the bot account directly

@Dssc will do it soon when I get back

@Cactus Do you want me to tag you or the bot account in the future?

@Dssc I'll be more responsive than desert generally

@Cactus can you also resolve https://manifold.markets/Desert/us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-Ph92lcLlts?r=RHNzYw when you get back?

@Dssc my apologies for the delay

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