(US x Iran Ceasefire) x (US forces enter Iran)
23
Ṁ100Ṁ2.7kresolved Apr 15
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
Ceasefire, forces enter Iran
0.3%
Ceasefire, No forces enter Iran
0.1%
No ceasefire, No forces enter Iran
0.6%
No ceasefire, forces enter Iran
Resolves based on these two polymarket links
https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-by
https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-enter-iran-by
For the "December 31" markets.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ187 | |
| 2 | Ṁ31 | |
| 3 | Ṁ25 | |
| 4 | Ṁ24 | |
| 5 | Ṁ21 |
People are also trading
Will the US-Iran ceasefire be formally declared ended by US or Iran before July 31, 2026?
21% chance
April 8, US-IRAN war ceasefire: prop bets
How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold?
When will Iran-US conflict end?
7/28/26
Iran vs US (props)
What will happen in US/Iran peace negotiations
Specific Events in the Iran War
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31 ? [Not Polymarket]
44% chance
What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?
1000 american troops inside Iran by EOY?
10% chance
Sort by:
@Cactus Sorry if this is double pinging, IDK if I’m supposed to tag your main account or the bot account directly
@Cactus can you also resolve https://manifold.markets/Desert/us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-Ph92lcLlts?r=RHNzYw when you get back?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US-Iran ceasefire be formally declared ended by US or Iran before July 31, 2026?
21% chance
April 8, US-IRAN war ceasefire: prop bets
How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold?
When will Iran-US conflict end?
7/28/26
Iran vs US (props)
What will happen in US/Iran peace negotiations
Specific Events in the Iran War
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31 ? [Not Polymarket]
44% chance
What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?
1000 american troops inside Iran by EOY?
10% chance