MANIFOLD
(US x Iran Ceasefire) x (US forces enter Iran)
5
Ṁ100Ṁ72
2027
17%
Ceasefire, No forces enter Iran
54%
Ceasefire, forces enter Iran
12%
No ceasefire, No forces enter Iran
17%
No ceasefire, forces enter Iran

Resolves based on these two polymarket links


https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-by

https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-enter-iran-by

For the "December 31" markets.

Market context
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