SHA256 collision by 2032-06-18?

Ṁ1kṀ12k

2032

23%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if, on or before the close date, humanity is aware of two distinct bytestrings with the same image under the SHA256 hash algorithm.

Cryptography

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will AES-256 encryption be broken by 2033?

20% chance

Will AES-256 encryption be broken by 2070?

48% chance

RSA-2048 encryption will be broken by 2032

50% chance

Significant attack on post-quantum signature Dilithium published before Nov 2026

11% chance

Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026

8% chance

Significant attack on post-quantum KEM Kyber published before Nov 2026

10% chance

Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026

8% chance

Will a SHA-256 collision be publicly known before 2030?

7% chance

SHA-256 broken by quantum computer before 2030

5% chance

256-bit ECC will be broken by 2032

50% chance

Sort by:

opened aṀ10,000NO at 33% order

@komplexkonjugat finally some sanity :)

The birthday attack’s real bottleneck is catering for 2^128 guests.

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 40% order

@jimbot rare jimbot slop comment :(

@realazthat What do you know? If I put another limit order will you share?

@A (can DM if you prefer)

People are also trading

Will AES-256 encryption be broken by 2033?

+3% 1d20% chance

Will AES-256 encryption be broken by 2070?

48% chance

RSA-2048 encryption will be broken by 2032

+20% 1d50% chance

Significant attack on post-quantum signature Dilithium published before Nov 2026

11% chance

Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026

8% chance

Significant attack on post-quantum KEM Kyber published before Nov 2026

10% chance

Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026

8% chance

Will a SHA-256 collision be publicly known before 2030?

7% chance

SHA-256 broken by quantum computer before 2030

5% chance

256-bit ECC will be broken by 2032

50% chance

People are also trading

People are also trading

Related questions