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MANIFOLD
In Cambridge UK, after the city council elections in May 2026, how many seats will each party have?
7
Ṁ550Ṁ551
May 5
59%
0 Reform UK
52%
16 to 20 (inclusive) Labour
50%
4 or 5 Green
50%
6 to 9 (inclusive) Green
49%
2 independent
49%
2 Green
48%
25 Labour
48%
6 to 15 (inclusive) Labour
48%
0 or 1 Green
48%
15+ Green
48%
30, 31, 32, 33, or 34 Labour
48%
21, 22, or 23 Labour
48%
5 to 9 (inclusive) independent candidates.
48%
10 to 14 (inclusive) Green
43%
3 Green
32%
6, 7, 8, or 9, that are not Labour, Green, Lib Dem, Conservative, Reform UK, or independent candidates.
9%
10+ independent candidates
5%
10+ that are not Labour, Green, Lib Dem, Conservative, Reform UK, or independent candidates.
2%
5 or fewer Labour
2%
35+ Labour

There are 42 seats, 23 are Labour, 12 are Lib Dem, 5 Green, 1 Conservative, and 1 independent.

Only 14 seats are available to be contested.

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Isn't it a crazy election when Green getting 0/1, 2 and 15+ are all at nearly 50%.

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 5% order

@AlanTennant Are 3 green/2 green/2 independent/25 labor at least or exactly that amount? Also, there are only 14 seats up for election, 10 of which are currently labor, so I think 5 or fewer labour and 35+ labour are only possible if there is some mass exodus of the not up for election councillors into or out of the party.

@Dssc If it seems unlikely feel free to choose "no", and feel free to add your own (not overlapping with others) ranges, I have limited daily mana to add everything.

edit: But I added three more Labour options for you. Thank you for helping me update the description.