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What will the Conservatives' change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
2
Ṁ175Ṁ159
resolved May 9
Resolved
- 600 to - 451
100%27%
- 600 to - 451
40%
Below - 600
16%
- 450 to - 301
10%
- 300 to - 151
5%
- 150 to - 1
3%
Above - 1

Resolves at (seats after - seats before). A negative resolution means that they lost seats, a positive resolution means that they gained seats.

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@Tetraspace Wait is "seats before" based on the last election baseline that BBC uses, or seats right before the election? I'm pretty sure it matters for this one because of all the conservative -> reform defections.

At the start of April there are about 20,000 seats, 1000 seats is 5% of that. Things are unusually turbulent this cycle, with a strong possibility of the government not being simply Labour or Conservative.

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