Google model beats Anthropic on LMArena by EOY26 | Manifold

Google model beats Anthropic on LMArena by EOY26

13

Ṁ100Ṁ226

Dec 31

43%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A Google model beats Anthropic best model on LMArena (text, overall, style control on) at some point before 1st Jan 2027 Pacific Time.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Which months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM

Will Anthropic hold all 3 top spots on the LMArena Text leaderboard on September 15, 2026?

Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?

Which number model will Anthropic be on by EOY?

Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?

Will a Chinese model top LMArena by EOY 2026?

Battle of the version numbers: OpenAI still leads Anthropic (5.2>4.5), through til mid 2027?

Will OpenAI overtake Anthropic in Valuation before 2028

An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26

Will "What's up with Anthropic predicting AGI by ea..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Related questions

Which months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM

Will Anthropic hold all 3 top spots on the LMArena Text leaderboard on September 15, 2026?

Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?

Which number model will Anthropic be on by EOY?

Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?

Will a Chinese model top LMArena by EOY 2026?

Battle of the version numbers: OpenAI still leads Anthropic (5.2>4.5), through til mid 2027?

Will OpenAI overtake Anthropic in Valuation before 2028

An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26

Will "What's up with Anthropic predicting AGI by ea..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?