Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?
7
100Ṁ348Dec 31
43%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently Google owns 14% of Anthropic.
Google and Anthropic signed a deal worth tens of billions of dollars, and it's not clear how Anthropic is paying. Maybe in part by giving up significant equity?
Resolves YES if reliable source states Google (Alphabet) owns >20% of Anthropic at any time prior to EOY 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Anthropic 2025 Revenue
A major tech company, besides Anthropic, reports at least 98% of its code is AI-generated before April 1, 2026
16% chance
Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?
8% chance
Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?
19% chance
Anthropic acquired by another company before EOY 2026?
7% chance
OpenAI and Anthropic will both hit their 2026 revenue goals in 2026
74% chance
Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?
29% chance
Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?
30% chance
US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026?
10% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
11% chance