Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ383Dec 31
31%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently Google owns 14% of Anthropic.
Google and Anthropic signed a deal worth tens of billions of dollars, and it's not clear how Anthropic is paying. Maybe in part by giving up significant equity?
Resolves YES if reliable source states Google (Alphabet) owns >20% of Anthropic at any time prior to EOY 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Google model beats Anthropic on LMArena by EOY26
43% chance
Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?
2% chance
Will Alphabet divest from Anthropic by EOY?
4% chance
Anthropic 2026 Revenue > $60B?
61% chance
Anthropic 2026 Revenue > $50B?
64% chance
Anthropic acquired by another company before EOY 2026?
2% chance
US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026?
15% chance
Will Anthopic merge with Google by 2032?
11% chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation exceed that of OpenAI by at least 50% on June 1, 2027?
39% chance
When will Anthropic surpass 30B revenue run rate?
4/7/26