An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26
1
Ṁ100Ṁ50Dec 31
69%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
LMArena, text, overall, style control on.
An open weight model get above "claude-opus-4.7” by the end of the year 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
A 70B model beats Opus 4.7 on LMArena
2/8/27
Weights in largest open-weight AI model before July 2026?
Weights in largest open-weight AI model before October 2026?
Open weight AI system below 100B parameters gets 5/6 on IMO 2026?
44% chance
Open Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
71% chance
Weights in largest open-weight AI model before 2027?
Will a US open-weights LLM outrank every Chinese open-weights LLM on LMArena at the end of 2027?
32% chance
Claude 3 Opus model weights publicly available by EOY 2030?
23% chance