Battle of the version numbers: OpenAI still leads Anthropic (5.2>4.5), through til mid 2027?
3
1kṀ6362027
70%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
at every moment, the model number of the best "released" version of the "best" model for coding (to choose one particular domain) from OpenAI will be higher (numerically) than that of Anthropic.
I.e. if Anthropic releases Claude5.5 tomorrow, then this would instantly NO since as of today, OpenAI's best public released model is 5.2
So basically it's whether the number advantage will remain with OpenAI til eod June 30 2027
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Battle of the version numbers: OpenAI still leads Anthropic (5.2>4.5), through til mid 2026?
93% chance
Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2028?
38% chance
Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2027?
39% chance
Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?
15% chance
Will OpenAI announce a new model that EpochAI estimates is at least as large as GPT-4.5, before August 2026?
50% chance
OpenAI and Anthropic will both hit their 2026 revenue goals in 2026
74% chance
Anthropic 'falls behind' by July 2026?
9% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
31% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
11% chance
Before 2034, will OpenAI, Anthropic or Mistral have a profitable fiscal year?
69% chance